Very concise post, the only thing I would disagree with is below. The nice thing about Canada is CCAA does not get you out of contracts unless you can prove they're are onesided in favor of the other company. I believe at best, CCAA might get the rates reset to what CR is trying to attain in the courts presently.
Quote: As for Jazz, it may ultimately take an AC CCAA filing to have the ability to outsource the current Jazz/Express flying to other bidders prior to 2020. This is from 2009, but the context is much the same,
Quote: CIBC WM
Jazz Air Income Fund Jazz (JAZ.UN-SO) provides regional services for Air Canada. In a CCAA filing, the key document governing the two companies’ relationship, the Capacity Purchase Agreement (CPA), is subject to opening and negotiation. However, we believe a bankruptcy court would have to find the contract well offside in terms of market rates for operations and we believe Jazz provides service to Air Canada at rates comparable to any of the U.S. regionals and typically exceeds them. Part of the 2010 rate reset process for the CPA already includes a benchmarking process on cost to U.S. regional carriers. We believe Jazz would also be ready to provide direct financing or would agree to changes in the CPA that are mutually beneficial in order to avoid a CCAA filing. One option for Air Canada in a CCAA filing could be to modify the existing scope clause with its unions. The current scope clause limits the size, number and type of aircraft and capacity Air Canada is allowed to contract to Jazz. Jazz has lower labor costs and more flexible work rules than Air Canada. If the CPA was terminated, we do not believe Air Canada would find it more cost effective to internalize the operation. The scale of services that Jazz provides Air Canada should also not be underestimated. Jazz provides airport operations for all Air Canada destinations in Canada other than the largest eight airports and provides service to 86 of 115 North American destinations. We believe the scope of the operation would make it very difficult, if not impossible, to take over completely. As well, there is no other entity in Canada with sufficient resources to operate 133 aircraft covered under the CPA. Installing a transplant airline from U.S. regional airlines is a possibility but it would certainly take time leading to severe disruption to service, which we expect the government would not tolerate for long. We expect Air Canada would not be able to reduce expenses materially in this scenario.
In the event of a strike, assuming Air Canada can maintain its customers systems, Jazz would continue to operate. In previous labor actions, regional carriers have typically seen their loads increase as they carry passengers normally carried by the mainline. |
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