apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Fanblade,
What if it was not even close to 2 billion dollars...
Did anyone actually verify that number??
Yes ALPA EF&A ran the numbers.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Let me save everyone some time. It is closer to half that. Slightly more than half. Costing is not hard these days with Excel and AI, but go figure it out yourself. You might be shocked.
Clearly you think your smarter than the pros that do this for a living. In fact ALPA E&FA is one of the most respected cost analysis sources in the industry. They wouldn’t put out BS under their name. They have a reputation to protect.
It’s so well respected for its expertise, E&FA's services are highly sought after by both ALPA and non-ALPA carriers, and its analyses are often relied upon by management and the National Mediation Board in negotiations
Google ALPA Economic and Financial Analysis
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
And while we are at it, did anyone notice the hourly weight pay for the 737?!
How on earth does it come out to 93.4T when the 737 MAX is actually 82.2T?
Or was it because the negotiated pay was so bad, below WestJet 737 rates, that they had to scramble and literally inflate the gross weight just to avoid looking completely incompetent.
I give you solid points for going into the appendix of the contract.
Yes I did notice. You have a problem with more money?
It’s not quite true pay grouping but it is close. Many other ALPA carriers pay group up. By that I mean they group aircraft types and then everyone gets paid the highest type.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
This is not pattern bargaining. This is doctoring the books. Frankly, it is borderline fraudulent and something I do not think we ever even saw at ACPA.
Your claiming ALPA E&FA, one of the most respected analysis sources in the industry is fraudulent? I’m not even going to go near that kind of conspiracy mindedness.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Another question for you: Was additional money made available to Air Transat after they ACTUALLY issued strike notice?
No idea, I wasn’t there. Every negotiation is different.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Follow up question:
Did ALPA National like that?
Were they keen on not striking?
Let me be absolutely clear. ALPA does not interfere in any MEC’s decisions during negotiations. It was your MEC’s decision and their decision alone to strike a TA when they did. The MEC chair doesn’t vote except to break a tie. The MEC was split but was not tied.
This whole rumour that ALPA won’t strike seems to be stemming from the fact ALPA employs a SPSC strategy that creates leverage without going on strike. They have honed this skill because the railway act in the US makes striking unlikely. This by no means should be interpreted as they are not willing to strike. They are very willing if required.
And again, that decision is the MEC’s and the MEC’s alone. Whoever is spreading rumours that ALPA won’t permit strike is just full of it.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
And here is the big what if... What if Air Transat got more precisely because they put on their big boy pants, ignored ALPA costing bias, and refused to be scared away from striking?
I think you need to be rescued from the rabbit hole your brain went down. You have decided that ALPA E&FA is fraudulent, that ALPA won’t let people strike. You have decided these things are facts when they aren’t. Then you’re taking it to a whole new level that the transat pilots saw through all this and got more as a result?
Again. Not touching this kind of stuff.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Meanwhile AC pilots buckled. Turtled. And are now behind even Air Transat in many respects because of it.
They leap frogged us in some areas and kept up in others. This is excellent. This is strategically important to have happen. You should be happy for them and happy for yourself. They just increased your next contract. Next WJ will hopefully do the same. That will be excellent as well.
Then it will be our turn to leap them.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
And the last flaw in your fantasy, Fanblade, is this...
Air Canada does not care what Air Transat or Buffalo Joe Airlines negotiates. Their answer is always the same
If you do not like it here, go there!
Air Canada can say whatever it wants. But they know the landscape.
Air Canada has a long standing strategy of using government intervention as a strategy to hold us down. Government intervention equals arbitration. Arbitration equals comparison within our borders. We have been a single legacy carrier with no one matching us for decades. Until now. Now our domestic comparators are above us? An arbitrator won’t hold us down.
Essentially every other carrier that sets a high water mark means Air Canada’s strategy of government intervention gets diluted.
You want proof AC recognizes this? At the start of our negotiations Rousseau was asked what he thought was a fair deal. He stated WJ’s contract which at that point was 20-25% above our pay. The first time since pre merger with Canadian airlines this was the case. 25 years.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
They know they have the nicest widebodies, the best routes, and the best career prospects. They are the one big airline in town and they will happily abuse that monopsony unless you are willing to fight back...
Just like the Flight Attendants did. They defied Section 107, ran a smart public campaign, and had the government backtracking faster than an ALPA rep realizing he forgot his Marriott points at check in.
Absolutely Air Canada will leave no stone unturned in its attempt to keep their pilot cost advantage alive. Absolutely we have to fight.
But we completely disagree on how to accomplish this. In our last round of bargaining we recovered our inflation losses all the way back to pre bankruptcy. They FA’s actually fell further behind.
apestogetherstrong. wrote: ↑Sun Dec 21, 2025 3:36 pm
Until there is a credible strike threat, including a willingness to push legal limits, this airline will never take this group seriously. And those are just facts.
You may be correct on this. Surprised I said this? I’m not strike averse. I believe there are better methods and a strike is the nuclear option. A nuclear option that in more cases than not provides poor results and gains.
However Air Canada isn’t currently changing direction on their employee relationship. In fact they are doubling down instead. I can absolutely see the potential for more strikes and industrial action before the c suite realizes their 1980’s tactics won’t work.