Three Months till the MUSIC stops!...TOPS

Kelowna Pilot · Post by **Kelowna Pilot** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 12:13 pm

The last big "wave" was around '95, '96 and '97, then it died quite a bit, then after 2001 aviation went into one of its biggest slumps in history... the wav picked up again over the last couple years as the economy grew and some baby boomers retired, but now the wave has crested and it will likely go down. The only question is the speed at which it goes down.

Aviation is a very cyclical industry.

planett · Post by **planett** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 2:24 pm

Take that BP report with a grain of salt. While oil prices are dropping now, their forecast is inaccurate, intentionally. Too many organizations profit from an energy crisis. A crisis that's serious enough to maintain high prices but not enough to abandon oil, or other fossil fuels. That way they ensure civilization remains connected to the wells for as long as possible.

A message like this is to discourage people from investigating other sources of energy. A reassurance that things will return to normal. BP used to be British Petroleum, now it's Beyond Petroleum, that is a very PC name, but don't think for a minute they won't prolong the oil dependency for as long as they can.

Longtimer · Post by **Longtimer** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 2:34 pm

Raddison Hotel Calgary Airport
2120 - 16th Avenue NE

Tuesday September 19th 2 pm - 8 pm

Immediate openings in YLW for AME, Avionics, Aviation Structures, NDT Tech, Gas Turbine and Overhaul Tech, Aviation Painter.

Also looking for Pilots (not YLW Based)

Kelowna Flightcraft

co-joe · Post by **co-joe** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 3:53 pm

The only reasons oil is decreasing in value is that hurricane season is over and none hit the US, and air conditioner/vacations season is coming to a close. There'll be a drop in price until winter heating/ vacation travel season fires up.

That's a very negative attitude you have there doc. Time to renew the prescription on your meds, or get laid or something.

Shady McSly · Post by **Shady McSly** » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:38 pm

I just took the Delorian for a spin and discovered that EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE ALRIGHT.

JohnnyHotRocks · Post by **JohnnyHotRocks** » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:54 am

...I though hurricane season was in the fall?...in fact, the one that came after Katrina was at the end of September last year...

pika · Post by **pika** » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:04 pm

http://www.flightglobal.com/jobs/Search ... sKeywords=

215 jobs listed here.

North Shore · Post by **North Shore** » Thu Oct 05, 2006 5:29 pm

There was an interesting item on "The National" two nights ago about how the housing market in the USA is starting to crumble. If it really tanks, then their economy will follow, and so will ours. Who gets laid off first? Pilots.

. . · Post by **. .** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:01 am

The paper today said building permits being issued at an all time high north of the border.

planett · Post by **planett** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 6:51 pm

We're not tied as closely to the US economy as we used to be, that said I give the current hiring wave one year. As usual, there will be exceptions. Maybe this time the slowdown will be gradual with fewer layoffs unlike the last two times.

Pete · Post by **Pete** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:40 pm

I cant believe some sort of recession has happened yet. Im not an expert on this but prices on alot of things have gone up and up and up. How people can afford to live these days is insane. Ill be moving back home for the winter...Im almost scared to move out again!!

I work at a golf course and the lady who manages the club house makes 15/hr she runs a tight ship. I know her husband makes a good dollar, but remove him and what is a wage like that? Then there are the labourers who work for 9, middle aged guys/single fathers...its crazy. So the price of living keeps moving up...and employers are still out there nickle and diming hard workers. meh I just cant understand it. Maybe Im out of place to be making that argument as I dont know much about this.

Im from just north of Toronto and the past 5 years...houses continue to pop up....areas always being developed. If anything I think it wont stop if immigration continues. Thats not a racist comment...these areas are very very diverse in culture/ethnic groups (so I assume immigration). I dont think that will drop off, but the avg joe...working for peanuts and living paycheck to paycheck...cost of living going up mixed with cheap ass bosses...wouldnt this type of scenerio bring on a recession eventually? mehmehmemem

pika · Post by **pika** » Tue Nov 14, 2006 3:30 pm

http://www.flightglobal.com/jobs/Search ... sKeywords=

206 jobs listed today and three months since this thread began is almost here.

787 is setting sales records.

http://www.skybus.com/skybusNews.aspx 65 319's on order.

Easyjet firms up 52 Airbus A319s, takes 75 more options

I say the music plays on.

Go Guns · Post by **Go Guns** » Tue Nov 14, 2006 4:18 pm

Don't F*&^*^ Jinx it

27pilot · Post by **27pilot** » Tue Nov 14, 2006 7:09 pm

Yes, oil is down a little. However we are only in mid November and the oil patch is busy as hell already.

twinpratts · Post by **twinpratts** » Tue Nov 14, 2006 7:48 pm

OH $HIT! We've got less than a month left

! Anybody got any bullets? (I'm trying to go the quickest way). However...I hear CO2 might be most painless.
Anymore predictions, Einstein?

. . · Post by **. .** » Wed Nov 15, 2006 9:48 pm

It's CO, not CO2 that you're thinking about.

Axial Flow · Post by **Axial Flow** » Sat Nov 18, 2006 11:03 am

CO2 would work also if your in to the suffaction type death.

bob sacamano · Post by **bob sacamano** » Sat Nov 18, 2006 11:11 am

Some of the native reserves I flew in, co2 was very popular there, you know, using the bag trick.

twinpratts · Post by **twinpratts** » Sun Nov 19, 2006 6:36 am

Hmm... I've learned something (I guess this post does have merit

)

snoopy · Post by **snoopy** » Mon Nov 20, 2006 10:48 am

In the midst of forecast doom and gloom, there is a glimmer of hope!!!!
While pilots speculate on their fate within the industry, one lone pilot wannabe expresses concern - not only for himself, but for his mates!

C-HRIS writes: "It CANT stop until me and all my fellow co-workers are off the ramp. "

I have to admire that after spending 13 months on the ramp, he's not complaining - rather persevering and he's looking out for others on the way.

With that kind of positive attitude C-HRIS, I am sure your perseverence will pay off. Good luck...

Snoopy

pika · Post by **pika** » Sun Nov 26, 2006 6:12 pm

210 jobs listed today. Play on sweet piper. Play on.

http://www.flightglobal.com/jobs/Search ... sKeywords=

TopperHarley · Post by **TopperHarley** » Mon Nov 27, 2006 3:07 pm

snoopy wrote:In the midst of forecast doom and gloom, there is a glimmer of hope!!!!
While pilots speculate on their fate within the industry, one lone pilot wannabe expresses concern - not only for himself, but for his mates!

C-HRIS writes: "It CANT stop until me and all my fellow co-workers are off the ramp. "

I have to admire that after spending 13 months on the ramp, he's not complaining - rather persevering and he's looking out for others on the way.

With that kind of positive attitude C-HRIS, I am sure your perseverence will pay off. Good luck...

Snoopy

Thanks Snoopy. I'm actually no longer working in cargo and have since upgraded to a flightline position. Hopefully the good times will continue!

Dash-Ate · Post by **Dash-Ate** » Sun Apr 15, 2007 4:06 pm

Pretend-A-Jet · Post by **Pretend-A-Jet** » Thu May 30, 2013 1:28 am

Interesting to see the music stopping thread.

http://www.avcanada.ca/forums2/viewtopi ... 54&t=89518

Reminded me of this one from 2006.

I think DOC was a couple of years early, but there was a slowdown in the economy in 2008 which involved the US housing market as NorthShore pointed out. I didn't realize there were indicators as early as the middle of 2006.

It will be interesting to see how the next couple of years plays out and reflect on the new thread as well.

1000 HP · Post by **1000 HP** » Thu May 30, 2013 3:22 am

Just keep burnin' that oil in those sky machines. My paycheck will go up even more next year. Dang, I love the oil and gas business.

Three Months till the MUSIC stops!...TOPS

On a more positve note

Re: Three Months till the MUSIC stops!...TOPS

Re: Three Months till the MUSIC stops!...TOPS