Where do you see Canadian aviation 5 years from now?
I know making good predictions is impossible because no one really can know, but what's your guess?
Here's my take:
1. Fuel prices are going to keep going up and up owing to the huge demand coming out of China. This is really going to hurt General Aviation in Canada, and destroy a lot of flight schools. We're already seeing very high rental rates for aircraft right now. It's only going to get worse. Canadian aviation could become like European aviation... only for the super rich.
2. The job situation. Who knows, but I highly doubt there will ever be a true shortage, certainly not in Canada. If a shortage does occur, it will be in Asia and it will only affect high time Jet Captains until the Asians can get their own pilots up and running. This will not stop the flying schools from yelling "pilot shortage", however, even though the shortage exists thousands of miles away.
3. Terrorism and Global Pandemics. Coudl be an issue; if so, look to see this industry take a clobering.
4. Pilots will continue to work for free and, even worse, pay to work for free. (Nightmare scenerio: Regency buys Westjet and forces pilots to buy 737 PPCs and work for free.... Pilots agree to do it).
5. Everyone on this board will continue bickering about Regency, PPCs and everything else under the sun.
Just my cents on this slow Sunday evening.
Canadian Aviation 5 years from now
Moderators: Sulako, lilfssister, North Shore, sky's the limit, sepia, I WAS Birddog
I think #3, the pandemic thing will wipe out the airline industry worldwide, the papers keep printing stories about the WHO and CDC authorities beating the drum of the coming worldwide flu pandemic...they keep saying its only a matter of time and they mean in the next few years or so.....
Well it is my understanding that in 2010, "Safe Flight" goes into effect. Meaning that all aircraft (twins) have to operate based on preformance charts. ie Pa-31s, Be10s, etc have to meet T/O and Climb limitaions to what the charts say. In other words, they will become much more limited in ops out of shorter strips where you want to move a load.
The industry is also moving towards A/C that have certified engine out performance. Take a look around, the companies that can afford them are starting to get ships like 1900's and such added to their fleets. Just a matter of time until it will be an industry standard.
But this is all what I have heard, I am looking into it offically.
(nothing like rumours though!)
Take care,
Adanac
The industry is also moving towards A/C that have certified engine out performance. Take a look around, the companies that can afford them are starting to get ships like 1900's and such added to their fleets. Just a matter of time until it will be an industry standard.
But this is all what I have heard, I am looking into it offically.
(nothing like rumours though!)
Take care,
Adanac
Good day, eh!
Saying
The old saying
"Only certainty is death and taxes"
Well I'd like to add TC and PPC's to the list...
---
Can I ask a question in this thread??
If we open our skies, does that mean we'd get rid of TC?
In which case TC and PPCs would be a thing of the past. =)
"Only certainty is death and taxes"
Well I'd like to add TC and PPC's to the list...
---
Can I ask a question in this thread??
If we open our skies, does that mean we'd get rid of TC?
In which case TC and PPCs would be a thing of the past. =)
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sky's the limit
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Jaques Strappe
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I think in the Airline Industry we will see open skies in the near future. My prediction is that this will bring "franchising" just like a Starbucks or Tim Hortons.
People are a little scared of the LCCs' Jetsgo has just added to that. The majors all have "scope clauses" in their contracts to stop the company from farming out their jobs. This is what will create franchising.
ABC Airways from YQT buys a fleet of airplanes under its' own OC, hires its' own pilots at shit wages, and buys either an American Airlines or Air Canada franchise allowing it to use the reservation system and fly with the company colours on its' aircraft.
The travelling public thinks it is flying with a major instead of ABC Airways. The Major gets an income from a route it would never make money on. It bypasses the scope clauses because it is an autonomous company flying its' own routes.
GB Air in Britain is a classic example of buying a British Airways franchise while getting around the mainline contracts. It is not a connector or feeder, in fact it has nothing to do with BA other than it looks like a BA aircraft.
People are a little scared of the LCCs' Jetsgo has just added to that. The majors all have "scope clauses" in their contracts to stop the company from farming out their jobs. This is what will create franchising.
ABC Airways from YQT buys a fleet of airplanes under its' own OC, hires its' own pilots at shit wages, and buys either an American Airlines or Air Canada franchise allowing it to use the reservation system and fly with the company colours on its' aircraft.
The travelling public thinks it is flying with a major instead of ABC Airways. The Major gets an income from a route it would never make money on. It bypasses the scope clauses because it is an autonomous company flying its' own routes.
GB Air in Britain is a classic example of buying a British Airways franchise while getting around the mainline contracts. It is not a connector or feeder, in fact it has nothing to do with BA other than it looks like a BA aircraft.
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CaptainHaddock
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4. Pilots will continue to work for free and, even worse, pay to work for free. (Nightmare scenerio: Regency buys Westjet and forces pilots to buy 737 PPCs and work for free.... Pilots agree to do it).
Not that far off at all- hopefully it won't rear it's head here.
Southwest Airlines New Pilot Requirements
Certificates / Ratings:
U.S. FAA Airline Transport Pilot Certificate. Unrestricted1 U.S. Type Rating on a B-737 not required for interview but required for employment.2
RyanAir
If you have a minimum 1000 hours JAR 25 aircraft experience and a ATPL/IR licence but are not B737-rated then you can Apply Online to Ryanair.
If you are successful in your application, you will be required to obtain and fund your B737-rating from a Ryanair approved organisation
Hopefully the working for free part won't happen for another 10 years.Well with all these students lining up for the anticipated shortage, the demand for instructers will remain strong-I guess I'll go get my instructors rating now to be prepared and beat the rush.
Not that far off at all- hopefully it won't rear it's head here.
Southwest Airlines New Pilot Requirements
Certificates / Ratings:
U.S. FAA Airline Transport Pilot Certificate. Unrestricted1 U.S. Type Rating on a B-737 not required for interview but required for employment.2
RyanAir
If you have a minimum 1000 hours JAR 25 aircraft experience and a ATPL/IR licence but are not B737-rated then you can Apply Online to Ryanair.
If you are successful in your application, you will be required to obtain and fund your B737-rating from a Ryanair approved organisation
Hopefully the working for free part won't happen for another 10 years.Well with all these students lining up for the anticipated shortage, the demand for instructers will remain strong-I guess I'll go get my instructors rating now to be prepared and beat the rush.
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listenheregirl
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5 years from now...
Five years from now...
Michel LeBlanc will have started up another airline in Canada and will be siffening off funds into his own personal stash via. Airline Uniform Sales (a company he will own, over charge for, and demand purchases from by his employees) and via. HIS privately owned catering company that the airline will have to buy all supplies from at inflated prices ($6 for a glass of orange juice). A few hundred new young guys will have paid for their PPCs there and will be saying ”isn’t that how it has always been done?”.
Westjet will not be bought out by Regency (as other have posted) because it is a PUBLIC company. All those that bought WJ shares (could be both LeBlanc and you!) will have tripled their investment.
AC will be the same as always...baggage handlers making more than the pilots of other companies and their Flight Attendants will be making more than "trades people with 2-4 years of post-secondary" because of their invaluable skills learned from their 10 days of training that they took following being fired from Joey Tomatoes.
I actually had to come back to add this bit...AND Judge Farley will be indited for accepting funds during the AC Bankruptsy scandal.
Michel LeBlanc will have started up another airline in Canada and will be siffening off funds into his own personal stash via. Airline Uniform Sales (a company he will own, over charge for, and demand purchases from by his employees) and via. HIS privately owned catering company that the airline will have to buy all supplies from at inflated prices ($6 for a glass of orange juice). A few hundred new young guys will have paid for their PPCs there and will be saying ”isn’t that how it has always been done?”.
Westjet will not be bought out by Regency (as other have posted) because it is a PUBLIC company. All those that bought WJ shares (could be both LeBlanc and you!) will have tripled their investment.
AC will be the same as always...baggage handlers making more than the pilots of other companies and their Flight Attendants will be making more than "trades people with 2-4 years of post-secondary" because of their invaluable skills learned from their 10 days of training that they took following being fired from Joey Tomatoes.
I actually had to come back to add this bit...AND Judge Farley will be indited for accepting funds during the AC Bankruptsy scandal.
