Stu Pidasso wrote:Sorry Ray, I just do not see it happening.
200 (or so) ... come back and 200 young Pilots with Mortgages and young families get furloughed. Not likely, the cost is just to high.
Well 200 is different than zero. Would you believe a number in between?
I agree with you that by the current number that are before the Tribunal (let's assume that it is 200, even though it is now 152, with another 20 or so referrals from the Commission pending), not all will be returning. One can't--he died waiting for his hearing. The average age of the Thwaites group is now 64.8. Unlikely that all of them will opt to return as F/Os. The average age of the Case #3 group is around 62.0. Some are over 64. By the time the reinstatement order is issued, most will be even older. So, same comment.
But many will return, including many over age 65, according to a survey I recently did of my almost 200 clients. With approximately 125 still retiring per year, there will be no-one displaced by the return of those who do elect to return.