co-joe wrote: ↑Tue Nov 15, 2022 1:11 pm
aeronauticaldisaster wrote: ↑Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:02 pm
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Even being a Captain at Flair has abysmal rates. Outright embarrassing. If I was an industry manager, I'd be expanding all over the world too knowing Canada is the international gold standard for pilot sweat shops
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Flair pays more than Swoop, Lynx, Jetlines, Jazz, and Encore. If you look at the upgrade potential and how that factors into the money you will actually have a shot at making, they pay more than most other options in Canada. If you're over 40, in many cases, Flair's current pay scale represents the most money you can make in Canada in your remaining usable years. The new pay scale will bridge that gap. AC will always represent a higher income potential if you are young enough to take advantage of it, but it will never compare in lifestyle IMHO.
Arnie Pye wrote: ↑Tue Nov 15, 2022 7:32 am
Flair doesn't have a recruiting problem. It has a retention problem. What is the churn at Air Canada, less than 1%? What about WestJet? Even with the chaos, are they losing 5%? Sunwing, Transit?? 5% maybe? Less?
Flair is losing over 20% of their pilots in their first year. Management was quite mum about the number of people leaving between 12-24 months. I'm guessing that this is also around 20%. Flair's employee turnover has to be 5-10X higher than any other major airline. Why is that? It has become so bad that the keeper of the seniority list won't number it any longer. If you count down the list, it's only about 12 longer than it was this time last year. For every course of 16 that we hire, the seniority list grows by 1 person. There's your problem. It's retention, not scarcity.
I don't think your numbers are at all representative of what Flair's position will be moving forward. During the pandemic, Flair was the only airline on planet earth that was actively hiring pilots. We hired at least 25 pilots who were on active furlough from jobs that paid substantially more than us.
Those people were rentals, nothing more. They were never going to stay no matter what we paid them. There were at least another dozen who had already done interviews for jobs that paid more and were just biding their time till the better offer came down. Then there were the expats who were just waiting for their call back to make 30k a month in the sandbox.
I think your numbers were drastically scewed by rental pilots who were never going to stay at flair no matter what happened once their jobs came back. The reality moving forward will depend largely on the new CBA, and what happens when China comes back to life.
Flair might pay more than Swoop. Lynx has an accelerator clause which will pay 10% more than Flair when the new contract comes out. Jetlines only has one airplane and isn't hiring. Jazz and Encore aren't a comparators as they are primarily domestic feeder routes with smaller aircraft.
Upgrade potential doesn't mean S#*% unless you're a 2000 hour pilot living in your mom's basement. Any of these companies will upgrade you once you meet Captain minimums.
If you're over 40, you'll still make way more money at Air Canada and Transat over the remaining 25 years of your career. Flair just had a couple of guys in their 50's head to AC from here and they only applied within the last couple of months. You won't make 777 Captain at AC but you'll retire mid-seniority narrow body captain.
You might not make more money at Westjet with a long upgrade time.
I don't have enough time and energy to run the numbers right now but here are some basic AC numbers:
Air Canada is 3.5 years to upgrade where you'll earn a base salary of about $185k [actually, I think it is higher since you carry years of service and enter as a year 3 captain??] plus pension matching, Nav pay etc. As a Captain, you'll easily clear over $200k without doing stupid amounts of overtime.
Flair is only $114k base for year one Captain [then 120k and 123k and no years of service]. The retirement package is 3.5% so you can expect to get a whole $166 per pay to retire on.
Those two jobs are largely the same. 737, domestic narrow body Captain working what ever your seniority can hold. Every single FO that I can think of (and nearly every Captain) would go there in a heartbeat if offered a position. The retention package isn't even a thought on the way out the door. It might as well be a gift card to purchase Flair swag.
I'm not paying today's bills with tomorrow's promises so Flair's position in the future is largely irrelevant. Maybe we will get a better contract; maybe we won't. Maybe one day we might get that shiny new travel policy that was announced 6 months ago.
MAYBE the schedule will be released on time two months in a row.
We have NOT HIRED ANY rental pilots in the previous twelve months. We did have quite a few in the first year after expansion began. Any of them who didn't have a full BS bucket went back within the first year or so. Retention has been a problem all through the year and got to the point where Flair offered a retention package that won't effectively retain anyone. Too little money, too far in the future.
Mark my words, a year from now if we don't have a substantial increase in WAWCON, we will be looking at another 20% churn in 2023.
This is a retention problem; not a recruiting problem.