Five Embraers being sold?

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Hookednjaded
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Five Embraers being sold?

Post by Hookednjaded »

Rumours have been around for many months, and are now being confirmed by a certain management pilot. Five Embraers are to be sold…
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goingnowherefast
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by goingnowherefast »

Isn't the Embraer the fleet type with the largest staffing problems?
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rudder
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by rudder »

As I understand it, 15 of the Express 175’s are owned by AC and 10 are subleased through AC. The value of a 19 year old first generation 175 cannot be that much.

If AC wanted to attrit the Express 175 fleet then wouldn’t it make more sense to simply not renew some (or all) of the leases? Another clue is when (or if) the previously announced interior retrofits actually happen. Nobody makes a capital commitment to a departing airframe, particularly if non-owned.

The fact that there are no orders for replacements at Express and clearly articulated fleet reductions in 2024 and 2025 tells you all that you need to know. 2026 will not be pretty. Fleet guarantee is just 80 airframes.
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hithere
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by hithere »

Hookednjaded wrote: Tue May 07, 2024 6:22 pm Rumours have been around for many months, and are now being confirmed by a certain management pilot. Five Embraers are to be sold…
Would this be a certain YUL management pilot?
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QKZXKV
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by QKZXKV »

"leverage"
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CaptDukeNukem
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by CaptDukeNukem »

rudder wrote: Wed May 08, 2024 7:07 am As I understand it, 15 of the Express 175’s are owned by AC and 10 are subleased through AC. The value of a 19 year old first generation 175 cannot be that much.

If AC wanted to attrit the Express 175 fleet then wouldn’t it make more sense to simply not renew some (or all) of the leases? Another clue is when (or if) the previously announced interior retrofits actually happen. Nobody makes a capital commitment to a departing airframe, particularly if non-owned.

The fact that there are no orders for replacements at Express and clearly articulated fleet reductions in 2024 and 2025 tells you all that you need to know. 2026 will not be pretty. Fleet guarantee is just 80 airframes.
If true , I also imagine that the common type rating to the E2 may have something to do with jazz not trying to keep these things going for ages.
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cdnavater
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by cdnavater »

The fleet plan is becoming clearer, a recent announcement about Chorus investing in a new titanium lightweight seats in 25 Q400s.
So with 5 Emb being sold, leaves 20 in the fleet, 35 CRJ 900s and 25 Qs, there’s your 80 fleet guarantee after this year.
I wonder who will be operating the other 14 Qs?
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Splash
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by Splash »

cdnavater wrote: Tue Jun 04, 2024 6:07 pm The fleet plan is becoming clearer, a recent announcement about Chorus investing in a new titanium lightweight seats in 25 Q400s.
So with 5 Emb being sold, leaves 20 in the fleet, 35 CRJ 900s and 25 Qs, there’s your 80 fleet guarantee after this year.
I wonder who will be operating the other 14 Qs?
Well, 8P might be looking for some work after their CPA with WS ends in the Fall, or maybe a dark horse like 9M may want to give it a shot too. I'm not entirely convinced signing up for a CPA agreement with a network carrier is always such a good idea, never mind if it's ever a profitable venture.
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Last edited by Splash on Sat Jun 15, 2024 12:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
CaptDukeNukem
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by CaptDukeNukem »

Splash wrote: Fri Jun 14, 2024 1:41 pm
cdnavater wrote: Tue Jun 04, 2024 6:07 pm The fleet plan is becoming clearer, a recent announcement about Chorus investing in a new titanium lightweight seats in 25 Q400s.
So with 5 Emb being sold, leaves 20 in the fleet, 35 CRJ 900s and 25 Qs, there’s your 80 fleet guarantee after this year.
I wonder who will be operating the other 14 Qs?
Well, 8P might be looking for some work after their CPA with WS ends in the Fall, or maybe a dark horse like 9M may want to give it a shot too. I'm not entirely convinced signing up for a CPA agreement with a network carrier is always such a good idea, never mind if it's every a profitable venture.
Pasco flies saabs. CMA has dash 8s but not Q4. I don’t think jazz or More importantly AC, is interested in the west coast.

CPAs can be a guaranteed revenue stream, but also very problematic. I’m frankly not convinced on either side of this argument. I personally think that AC will run as little as possible in the west while connecting pax in the east to yyz.
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Canucklhead
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by Canucklhead »

5 175s are not being sold. In the end it will be 25 175s, 30 CRJ900s and 25 Q400s. Not sure why this is a surprise as it was the plan in the CPA for years to reduce to 80 aircraft.

Doubtful that AC will need the feed from the 14 Q400s being parked. There is a lot of mainline capacity coming online in the next few years.
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rudder
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Re: Five Embraers being sold?

Post by rudder »

Canucklhead wrote: Fri Jun 14, 2024 4:13 pm 5 175s are not being sold. In the end it will be 25 175s, 30 CRJ900s and 25 Q400s. Not sure why this is a surprise as it was the plan in the CPA for years to reduce to 80 aircraft.

Doubtful that AC will need the feed from the 14 Q400s being parked. There is a lot of mainline capacity coming online in the next few years.
Bingo.
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